ubuntu-phone team mailing list archive

[Josh Leverette <coder543@xxxxxxxxx>]

If you look at my graph, the average is significantly skewed by the $600
perk. The average slope for the 2nd half of the graph is $605.43 per 90
seconds. The real numbers aren't nearly that optimistic, which fits with
what I said in my earlier emails.


On Tue, Jul 23, 2013 at 11:13 AM, Daniel Clem <clem11388@xxxxxxxxx> wrote:

> If that trend holds there will be a total of almost 80,000,000. Obviously
> it will have ups and downs, but even half that average would reach the
> goal. Will re-investigate GSM's signal strength in my area, as well as data
> plans.
>
>
> Josh Leverette <coder543@xxxxxxxxx> wrote:
>>
>> The only number I'm writing down is the total funding amount so far at
>> each interval, I'm not writing anything down about individual users. I feel
>> like anything more than just looking at the total would be kind of sketchy.
>> I ran some analysis and out of all of the 90 second periods, the most
>> amount of contribution that the project received was $18,432 total during
>> one 90 second interval. The average so far has been about $2,607 per 90
>> second interval.
>>
>>
>> On Tue, Jul 23, 2013 at 10:56 AM, Omar B. <estelar57@xxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
>>
>>> Nice, thx for recording the data and the graph.
>>>
>>> did you get any data on individuals who may had purchased multiple times
>>> consecutively? , how many each individual got ?
>>>
>>> I Think indiegogo only lets you select one perk even if you add more
>>> cash to the amount.
>>>
>>> So it wouldn't be a surprise if some made multiple purchases
>>> consecutively.
>>>
>>> Anyway this will be a crucial week, hope their double edge and other
>>> perks get mass acceptance.
>>>
>>> ------------------------------
>>> From: coder543@xxxxxxxxx
>>> Date: Tue, 23 Jul 2013 10:41:00 -0500
>>>
>>> Subject: Re: [Ubuntu-phone] Ubuntu Edge (the Ubuntu handset)
>>> To: estelar57@xxxxxxxxxxx
>>> CC: ubuntu-phone@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
>>>
>>>
>>> Actually, this will probably help. This is the amount of funding the
>>> project had received over time. The data was sampled at a rate of once
>>> every 90 seconds. You can clearly see the moment when the $600 phone option
>>> ran out. Calculating the trend line for the second half of the graph
>>> indicates that the campaign will raise about $20,000,000 total over the
>>> full period of the campaign, which is not enough. I believe that this is
>>> the reason Canonical introduced the Double Edge option a few minutes ago,
>>> which might boost sales by a little bit more. Hopefully this clarifies my
>>> point. There lines are very smooth. If a company bought 100 units all at
>>> once, there would be a visible blip on the graph, in my opinion. That would
>>> be $60,000 in pledges all at once, which would break the monotony of the
>>> graph.
>>>
>>> [image: Inline image 1]
>>>
>>>
>>> On Tue, Jul 23, 2013 at 10:34 AM, Josh Leverette <coder543@xxxxxxxxx>wrote:
>>>
>>> I'm not saying companies *couldn't* buy from the indiegogo deal. I'm
>>> just saying the companies with the money to buy from this fundraiser
>>> wouldn't be able to move fast enough to have gotten in on the 1st day of
>>> sales. Companies move slowly for the most part, and I was watching the
>>> sales figures carefully. I've even plotted them on a graph over time as the
>>> data has come in, starting at about $1.5million dollars in sales. I
>>> should've started the data collection earlier, but I stupidly didn't think
>>> to. I watched the number from the start though, even though they weren't
>>> being recorded. The rates were constant. There was no bulk purchase done by
>>> any one company. If you would like to review my numbers, I can send you the
>>> spreadsheet.
>>>
>>>
>>> On Tue, Jul 23, 2013 at 10:16 AM, Omar B. <estelar57@xxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
>>>
>>> >Stores and resellers were not purchasing from indiegogo yesterday.
>>> There might have been one or two, but that's simply not what happened. This
>>> whole campaign is all about individuals buying these phones. I don't want
>>> to see this campaign fail anymore than you do. People will either buy them
>>> at $830, or they won't.
>>>
>>>
>>> yes... sure.
>>>
>>> I didn't see anywhere that said limited one per client.
>>>
>>> Or that you shouldn't get involved with business reasons in mind and get
>>> a bunch of them.
>>>
>>> There's nothing to lose at the moment, which makes it even better. In
>>> fact anyone can come in and buy most of the 35k remaining, I don't think
>>> its prohibited.
>>>
>>> I believe even companies got into the discounted 600 tier and took their
>>> share and is why you see 0 in the enterprise tier. Why would you as a
>>> company pay 80/160k when you can pay 60/120k right there (Big discount in
>>> one go), is a no brainer, they wouldn't survive as companies by being dumb
>>> about $, specially on this economy.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> --
>>> Mailing list: https://launchpad.net/~ubuntu-phone
>>> Post to     : ubuntu-phone@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
>>> Unsubscribe : https://launchpad.net/~ubuntu-phone
>>> More help   : https://help.launchpad.net/ListHelp
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> --
>>> Sincerely,
>>>     Josh
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> --
>>> Sincerely,
>>>     Josh
>>>
>>> --
>>> Mailing list: https://launchpad.net/~ubuntu-phone
>>> Post to     : ubuntu-phone@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
>>> Unsubscribe : https://launchpad.net/~ubuntu-phone
>>> More help   : https://help.launchpad.net/ListHelp
>>>
>>>
>>
>>
>> --
>> Sincerely,
>>     Josh
>>
>> --
>> Mailing list: https://launchpad.net/~ubuntu-phone
>>
>> Post to     : ubuntu-phone@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
>> Unsubscribe : https://launchpad.net/~ubuntu-phone
>>
>> More help   : https://help.launchpad.net/ListHelp
>>
>>


-- 
Sincerely,
    Josh